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Finance and Economics Discussion Series: Deriving Inflation Expectations from Nominal and Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yields

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This paper derives a measure of inflation compensation from the yields of a Treasury inflation-indexed security and a portfolio of STRIPS that has similar liquidity and duration as the indexed security. This measure can be used as a proxy for inflation expectations if the inflation risk premium is small. The calculated measure suggests that the rate of inflation expected over the next ten years fell from just under 3% in mid-1997 to just under 1 3/4% by early 1999, before rising back to about 2 1/2% by the beginning of 2000. This variation is more extensive than would have been expected from a simple model of inflation dynamics or from a survey measure of long-run inflation expectations.

Informacija

Autorius: Brian Sack
Leidėjas: BiblioGov
Išleidimo metai: 2013
Knygos puslapių skaičius: 28
ISBN-13: 9781288716999
Formatas: 7.44093 x 0.0578739 x 9.68502 inches. Knyga minkštu viršeliu
Kalba: Anglų

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